Friday, September 30, 2011

If the US Were a Household . . .

I heard this on the radio not too long ago.  When you hear about the US economy, the national debt, etc., the numbers are staggering – and difficult to comprehend.  Who thinks in terms of trillions anyway, except maybe macroeconomists and astronomers?

To get a handle on the current economic situation of the United States, let’s bring the numbers down to something we can deal with.  We will compare the numbers to a household by lopping off a few zeroes.  This may help us, in a very general way, understand our current economic situation.

If the US were a household, we would say it was bringing in $238,000 per year.  Not bad at all.

The problem is, the household spends $355,000 per year -- $117,000 more than it brings in.
And, therefore, to sustain its lifestyle, the household has been borrowing (especially in the last several years) and, therefore, owes $1,460,000.

Ouch.
Yes, we need to cut spending drastically and yes, we need to raise revenue. And, it seems to me, we certainly need to pay down that debt.

That's easier said than done, of course.
Here are the numbers, which were pulled from several sources:

Total revenue in from all sources (individual tax returns, corporation income tax, employment taxes, excise, gift and estate taxes): $2.3 trillion (Source: Tax Stats at a Glance, US Internal Revenue Service; http://www.irs.gov/taxstats/article/0,,id=102886,00.html)

Total spending (mandatory [i.e., social security, medicare, Medicaid, unemployment, interest on the national debt]: $2.2 trillion; discretionary [i.e., Departments of Defense, Energy, Commerce, Labor, etc.]: $1.4 trillion): $3.6 trillion (source: US National Budget, A New Era of Responsibility, Executive Office of the President of the United States, Office of Management and Budget, p114 [year 2010]; http://www.gpoaccess.gov/usbudget/fy10/pdf/fy10-newera.pdf)

Total national debt: (publicly held: $10 trillion; privately held: $4.6 trillion): $14.6 trillion (source: US Dept. of the Treasury, Bureau of the Public Debt; http://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP/BPDLogin?application=np)

Sunday, August 28, 2011

OTC Markets Releases New Data

The OTC Markets Newsletter recently published statistics for securities that trade on the OTC Market.  The OTC Markets seem to be growing, and the increases seem to be generally from quality companies, as opposed to “dark” or firms that do not provide much information.  We compared the numbers from 2009, 2010 and the numbers as of 2011.  The OTC Markets have several tiers:

OTCQX - the highest tier for companies that go through a rigorous review and meet certain financial standards. This group has more than tripled in size since 2009:

2009:     78 companies
2010:    159
July 2011:  246

OTCQB - for companies that are "reporting" to the SEC or a banking regulator and are current in their reporting requirements. This group (with the 2009 numbers combined between the OTCBB on Pink Quote and the OTCBB only) saw an increase last year, but has seen a slight drop so far in 2011:

2009:  3,390
2010:  3,851
July 2011: 3,716

The drop could be due to a number of reasons – for example, companies could have voluntarily decided to move to the pink sheets (to save money), or they could have been forced to do so due to failures in their reporting obligations, or they may have been promoted to a higher exchange, either within the OTC Markets, or to NASDAQ or one of the other exchanges.

OTC Pink Current Information - for companies that follow certain standards and make certain information available through the OTC Market's news and disclosure service. This group has risen steadily since 2009:

2009:   1,695
2010:  1,830
July 2011: 2,043

OTC Pink Limited Information - for companies that may or may not be troubled, but have not been current in reporting through the OTC Market's news and disclosure service. This group has remained at about the same number:

2009:  739
2010:  749
July 2011: 723

OTC Pink No Information - which includes "defunct companies that have ceased operations as well as 'dark' companies with questionable management and market disclosure practices." This group rose by a whopping 38% between 2009 and 2010, but has since leveled off.

2009:  2,445
2010:  3,375
July 2011: 3,355

Tuesday, July 26, 2011

RFID Applications - Part 3 in our RFID series

Attaching an RFID tag to an object and incorporating that object into an RFID system, with a reader and software, can turn any object into a “smart” object, capable of communicating within the system. Long term predictions for these technologies include things like smart houses that know when you wake up in the morning, get your coffee ready for you and tell you you’re low on milk[1]; or smart shopping carts where you place what you want in a cart and walk out of the store, paying for your goods automatically when you exit.

While that sort of integration of RFID into our daily lives is years away, RFID technology is currently being used in many different industries and is expected to grow significantly in the next few years. The RFID tag industry is expected to see heavy growth in the coming years -- one third-party market research report forecasts a 14% Compound Annual Growth Rate and a total market value of $8 billion by 2014[2].

Part of the reason RFID technology is expected to see significant growth is due to its application diversity. RFID tags are used in dozens of applications in many different industries. In this section of our RFID series we will take a look at some of the wide variety of RFID uses:

Pharmaceutical companies can use RFID tags to track drugs and to verify authenticity throughout manufacturing and shipping[3]. This can help prevent fake drugs from entering their supply chains, helping to ensure drug safety to patients while allowing for much cheaper and much more efficient recalls when necessary.

Likewise, RFID can be used to track livestock from birth to retail sales. In fact, livestock tracking is predicted by British Research firm IDTechEx to be the largest RFID market by 2017 at nearly $6.5 billion worldwide[4]. This is expected to be largely propelled by government mandates requiring animal tracking for improved food safety. According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture, in the U.S. alone there are over 100 million cattle, and over 35 million additional cattle born each year[5]. In the instance of a food safety issue (like E. Coli in tainted meat), the affected products can be traced in some instances to the animal itself, as well as to any other animals or products that it may have come into contact with. This should allow quicker, more efficient and less costly recalls both in human health and money terms.

In farm management, RFID systems can be used along with software systems to allow for easier tracking of various animal characteristics depending upon the type of farm (e.g., milk production in a diary farm). This allows more tailored care and decreased labor costs. One report states that using RFID systems in such a way as to track individual cattle rather than groups of cattle has allowed one farmer to estimate saving $35-60 per head[6].

RFID tags are used in many toll roads to collect fees automatically as a vehicle drives by, while companies managing parking lots or managing auto fleets may use RFID to track vehicle locations or empty spots within their lots.

ExxonMobil has introduced its “SpeedPass” to collect payment at gas stations[7]. Credit card companies such as Visa, with its new "payWave" system, are beginning to offer RFID embedded smart cards to provide users with a more convenient "contactless" payment option[[8]]. Smart card shipments increased 16% to 675 million shipments in 2009[9]. One estimate from CHASE Card Services holds that smart cards may reduce transaction times by between 10-40%[10].

RFID can be used for security - data on the tag can attest to the authenticity of the attached document. Many nations have begun including them in passports -- the U.S. began doing this in 2006 -- and China recently completed a $6 billion project to include them in national ID cards[11]. RFID tags can likewise be placed in employee or visitor badges so organizations can use them to allow after hour deliveries or monitor visitor and staff access[12]. Some countries are considering adding tags to currency as a counterfeit measure[13].

For large retailers, RFID can significantly reduce costs despite the upfront investment in tags and systems, by reducing shoplifting and employee theft, and eliminating the need for manual inventory counting. This can also reduce overall inventory costs due to greater automation, increased data accuracy and decreased labor. It can also increase sales with better stocked shelves; according to the Wall Street Journal, an American Apparel pilot program saw a 14.3% increase in sales in RFID enabled stores due to better stocked shelves[14], and IHL group recently stated that eliminating the estimated $430 billion in sales lost due to out of stock items could help retailers improve sales by as much as 10%[15].

In addition to tracking inventory, tracking a business’s assets can also be very valuable. A Texas hospital reports saving $30,000 per month by tracking and monitoring the idleness of rented equipment[16].

Tracking assets can be an important application for businesses. According to Frost & Sullivan, hospitals lose 10-20% (approximately $750 million worth) of their assets each year. Construction companies can use RFID to make sure that tools are not left behind at work sites[17].

Businesses can also use RFID to better understand their customers. More accurate inventory data can allow a business to better anticipate future demand, and businesses have also used RFID to track promotions and sales[18]. Another application is monitoring the in-store travel of a garment from the rack to the dressing room and back to better understand consumer preferences[19].

RFID can be helpful in a business’s compliance or safety issues as well. Sushi restaurants can track raw food to make sure it doesn’t expire[20]; healthcare providers can track employee’s badges to make sure hands are washed[21] and they can track instruments to make sure they are sterilized[22]; and an Australian mining company can track vehicle traffic underground to avoid collisions[23].

Some of the more unique uses we’ve heard about are researchers tracking honeybees to study their behavior[24], casinos embedding tags in poker chips to monitor the money at their tables[25], and a waste management company using trucks with readers and RFID tagged recycle bins to measure the weight of a recycle bin prior to disposal and give the customer credit for their bottles and cans[26].

There are clearly many varied uses for RFID technology, and new ones are being dreamed up every day. It will be interesting to see what they come up with next.

[1]
Want, Roy “RFID: A Key to Automating Everything” Scientific American 8/9/2008

[2]
Overlook Seen Positive for RFID Market despite Downturn. Supply & Demand Chain http://www.sdcexec.com/web/online/IntegrationERP-Trends/Outlook-Seen-Positive-for-RFID-Market-Despite-Downturn/19$12198

[3]
O'Connor, Mary. "Pfizer Using RFID to Fight Fake Viagra." RFID Journal http://www.rfidjournal.com/article/articleview/2075/ 1/1/ 1/6/2006

[4]
Swedberg, Claire. "Food and Livestock Tagging Expected to See Bumper Gains." RFID Journal http://www.rfidjournal.com/article/view/3725/1 2 November 2007

[5]
Cattle. National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/usda/current/Catt/Catt-07-23-2010.pdf 7/23/2010

[6]
Ishmael, Wes “The Power of One.” Beef Magazine http://beefmagazine.com/mag/beef_power_one/ 7/1/2010

[8]
"Visa's PayWave catching on in Canada." Contactless News. http://www.contactlessnews.com/ 2010/05/27/visas-paywave-catching-on-in-canada 3/27/2010

[9]
"Report: Smart card market to expand in 2010." Contactless News. http://www. contactlessnews.com/2010/05/12/report-smart-card-market-to-expand-in-2010 5/12/2010

[10]
The Self-Service ‘Buy-and-Pay’ Market” Vending and Foodservice Trends in the US Packaged Facts, June 2008.

[11]
Weier, Mary Hayes “Slow and Steady Progress” Information Week http://www.informationweek.com/news/mobility/RFID/221601551

[12]
“Kalorama Tech in Healthcare Bundle” Kalorama Information, A division of MarketResearch.com; November 2008

[13]
“What Every Internal Auditor Should Know About RFID”, Knowledgeleader, June 2006

[14]
Bustillo, Miguel “Wal-Mart Radio Tags to Track Clothing” The Wall Street Journal http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704421304575383213061198090.html 7/23/10

[15]
Johnson, John “Retailers look to RFID item level tagging to kick $430B out-of-stock problem” RFID 24-7 6/6/11 http://www.rfid24-7.com/articles/060611.shtml

[16]
“Texas Health Presbyterian Hospital Dallas Uses Wireless System to Track Location of Supplies, Equipment” http://www.texashealth.org/body.cfm?id=1629&action=detail&ref=1137

[17]
Nazarov, Amy “The Internet of Things” InformationWeek 9/7/2009

[18]
Budde, Paul & Harper, Phil Australia 2007 - Mobile Data and Content,- The Long Wait for 4G;Paul Budde Communication 9/2007

[19]
Nazarov, Amy “The Internet of Things” InformationWeek 9/7/200

[[21]]
“Ecolab, Proventix become allies in RFID hand hygiene compliance monitoring”, RFID News http://www.rfidnews.org/2011/06/28/ecolab-proventix-become-allies-in-rfid-hand-hygiene-compliance-monitoring?issue=rfidnews_20110630, 6/28/2011

[22]
“Kalorama Tech in Heatlchare Bundle” Kalorama Information A division of MarketResearch.com; November 2008

[23]
Crozier, Ry “NSW mine tests RFID thesis” itnews http://www.itnews.com.au/News/264246,nsw-mine-tests-rfid-thesis.aspx, 7/21/2011

[24]
“Flight of the honey bee played to the tune of RFID” RFID News http://www.rfidnews.org/2011/05/31/flight-of-the-honey-bee-played-to-the-tune-of-rfid, 5/31/2011

[25]
Nazarov, Amy “The Internet of Things” InformationWeek 9/7/2009

[26]
Ibid.

Wednesday, July 20, 2011

Nanoparticles Improve Lithium Ion Batteries

We wanted to expand on our press release this morning regarding the completion of our Phase I STTR project, because this is a very exciting development.

The materials used for lithium ion batteries are expensive.  Other, cheaper materials are available, but they are not typically used because they suffer from "capacity fade" -- that is, when you repeatedly cycle (i.e., drain and re-charge) them, they don't last very long, especially in warmer environments.

Comparing battery cells with our nanoparticles (coated)
and cells without (uncoated).  After just 30 cycles in
high temperatures, the uncoated cell capacities have
dropped significantly, while the coated cells still perform
close to where they started.
We worked with the University of Wisconsin to prove that adding certain nanoparticles in a certain way to these less expensive materials deters capacity fade.

This means the less expensive materials can be used -- and this can help tremendously with the cost issues that are preventing the use of lithium ion batteries in some major applications.

We've received a lot of interest in the technology -- from a Fortune 500 company to a small but well-funded start-up.  All of these companies are working in the battery or battery materials area and each of them plan to watch carefully as we bring the technology to full commercialization.  They could very well end up being the technology's first licensees.

We will soon be submitting a Phase II proposal to fund the commercialization effort.  We should have an answer on that proposal toward the end of the year. 

Monday, July 18, 2011

Why RFID? - Part 2 in our RFID Series

Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) has the potential to dramatically alter the way people live their lives and the way businesses and governments operate. Its impact will be especially felt in business where some foresee no less than “a business revolution”[1]. RFID systems are comprised of three things, a tag with an antenna and microchip to store data, a reader to interrogate the tag and retrieve the data, and software to interpret and organize the data as desired. Much more than a “glorified bar-code”, RFID allows tracking and identification of objects in real time; some systems even allow constant tracking.

With an RFID system, we have the ability to take nearly any object and make it “smart” or at least “smarter” by allowing it to communicate back to its reader. A basic tag allows the object to communicate its location. Some tags are combined with sensors to provide more information. Think of a tag combined with a temperature or heart monitoring sensor on a patient in a hospital. Integrated into the hospital network this could allow patient location and condition monitoring in real time throughout the hospital[2].

Some of the general benefits of RFID systems are that they allow accurate and efficient data acquisition. With the increased computerization and automation provided by an RFID system there is a decrease in manual data entry and therefore fewer opportunities for errors. As RFID systems are wireless there is less need for “cumbersome cables”, they take a minimal installation time, and have low maintenance requirements[3].

For consumers RFID should yield increases in convenience, efficiency and safety. With RFID tagged retail products and checkout readers we should see more self-service retailers, perhaps even hybrid-vending machine / mini-marts with no employees other than the ones needed to tag all the mini-mart’s products[4]. RFID enabled “Smart Cards” should “reduce consumers’ average transaction time by between 10% and 40% depending on whether purchases are made in stores or at drive-throughs”[5]. On top of quicker and more convenient shopping, products should be safer as livestock, pharmaceuticals and everything else being tracked with RFID can report to consumers the product’s history, and “pedigree”, assuring the consumer of both the safety and quality of the product[6,7]. Farther into the future there are the ideas of automated kitchens; e.g., your milk carton notifies the refrigerator that it has expired, or that its contents are low; the refrigerator, in turn, notifies you, or simply orders a new carton from the store[8]. The possibilities for RFID to change our day to day lives are numerous, wondrous and limited only by our imaginations.

While the benefits of RFID for business may not be as glamorous as those for consumers, businesses will enjoy the greatest rewards from implementing these systems by being able to (to name a few):

  • Better locate and deploy inventory in the supply chain
  • Reduce lost shipments
  • Increase sales by decreasing out-of-stocks and increasing in-store item availability
  • Reduce employee theft
  • Protect brands through ensuring product integrity
  • Better understand consumer preferences
  • Increase knowledge available to the customer
  • More quickly and efficiently facilitate recalls
  • Track, monitor and manage promotions and sales
  • Locate, track, maintain and prevent theft of company assets
  • Reduce labor’s share of operational costs through increased automation
  • Increase predictability in product demand

In addition to these more generalized benefits for businesses there are many specific benefits for different particular applications or industries, too many to name here. It is clear however that because of these benefits RFID will become a major part of business operations. Businesses will eventually need to adopt RFID in order to run more efficiently and keep up with the competition.




[1] Budde, Paul & Harper, Phil Australia 2007 - Mobile Data and Conten,- The Long Wait for 4G; Paul Budde Communication 9/2007 http://www.budde.com.au/Research/2007-Australia-Mobile-Data-and-Content-The-long-wait-for-4G.html
[2] “Diagnostics Market Research Bundle” Kalorama2009 Diagnostic Industry Bundle; Kalorama Information A division of MarketResearch.com, May 2009 pg 116
[3] “Kalorama Tech in Heatlchare Bundle” Kalorama Information A division of MarketResearch.com; November 2008; pg 37
[4] “The Self-Service ‘Buy-and-Pay’ Market” Vending and Foodservice Trends in the US Packaged Facts, June 2008.
[5] “The Self-Service ‘Buy-and-Pay’ Market” Vending and Foodservice Trends in the US Packaged Facts, June 2008.
[6] Swedberg, Claire; “Norwegian Food Group Nortutra to Track Meat” RFID Journal; July 22, 2008 http://www.rfidjournal.com/article/view/4208
[7] “RFID and UHF: A Prescription for RFID Success in the Pharmaceutical Industry” http://www.scribd.com/doc/59002369/WP-RFID-UHF
[8] Budde, Paul & Harper, Phil Australia 2007 - Mobile Data and Conten,- The Long Wait for 4G; Paul Budde

Thursday, June 30, 2011

Articles about our S/Cap RFID tag

RFID Journal, the premier publication for the RFID industry, did an article on our new S/Cap RFID tag yesterday, June 29: http://www.rfidjournal.com/article/view/8565

In addition, the product had a nice write up on VeryFields, which hosts the largest RFID tag database, on June 28: http://blog.veryfields.net/?p=2334

Monday, June 27, 2011

US patent reform

The following is an excerpt of a couple of postings from the old Enable IPC blog, dated during July and August of 2007:

The July/August (2007) edition of Forbes Small Business has an important and interesting article that discusses the overloaded US patent system. The backlog of applications is now at 800,000! … There are some reforms that are in the works, apparently. A bill is aimed at improving the quality of patent applications. However, the FSB article says that the bill would make things more difficult for small businesses.

In particular, the issues seem to be changing the protection from "first to invent" to "first to file", … -- meaning you could invent something first, but if someone else files a patent application before you, they get the rights.

The article seems to say that larger businesses are generally for this change while smaller companies are against it (the reason being, larger companies can more easily beat smaller companies to the patent office because they have greater resources).

The latest issue of Fortune Small Business contains a letter from Lynn Sky (owner of Blue Sky Gallery) that asks the question: if we change the law from first to invent to first to file, then "aren't we simply legalizing theft?"

Last week, the House of Representative passed a plan for patent reform, which includes the change to “first to file” (see http://dld.bz/aeD23 ). A number of groups continue to oppose this particular provision, including the National Small Business Association (NSBA; see http://dld.bz/aeD3k).  The NSBA also brings up the fact that patent fees are being diverted from the patent office, which is contributing to the backlog issue as well.   

The House version, however, has some differences with a Senate version that was passed earlier and the two versions now have to be reconciled.

It will be interesting to see what we end up with. We agree with the NSBA; "first to file" seems wrong and the diversion of US patent fees needs to stop. The USPTO needs those fees so they can hire and utilize additional, more experienced examiners to permanently address this backlog.

The website law.com has provided an interesting summary of where we are at today. Check it out at: http://bit.ly/kAI0GO